Bodens vs Lucksta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+126%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
5º
1º
22
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 66 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 63 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 45 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
69.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
13º
|
88.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
65% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bodens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GIF
0 - 3
BOD
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 1
BOD
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
BOD
4 - 2
IFK
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BOD
1 - 0
THO
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
TAF
0 - 2
BOD
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 2
UAK
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
LUC
43%
21%
36%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 1
IFA
47%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
0 - 0
LUC
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 0
KFF
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |