VfL Bochum vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RTV
0 - 3
DYN
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
RTV
1 - 1
CSK
31%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
KOL
2 - 3
RTV
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 0
RTV
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
RTV
1 - 3
STP
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
MSV
3 - 2
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
MSV
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
MSV
1 - 1
GRO
29%
23%
48%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MSV
1 - 3
SGD
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
MSV
1 - 2
HSV
21%
24%
56%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |