VfL Bochum vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
WAL
0 - 0
RTV
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
RTV
2 - 1
LEV
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
BYM
3 - 2
RTV
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
RTV
2 - 0
EIN
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
BWB
0 - 0
RTV
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1986 |
AUG
1 - 2
HOM
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
HOM
0 - 1
BRE
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
MON
5 - 0
HOM
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
HOM
1 - 1
KAI
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
HSV
3 - 1
HOM
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |