DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 7-2
VfL Bochum vs Hammer SpVg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
STU
5 - 2
RTV
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
HAM
1 - 1
RTV
13%
19%
68%
|
80 | 36 | 44 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
RTV
3 - 1
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
HSV
0 - 0
RTV
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
RTV
0 - 0
BYM
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
HAM
1 - 1
RTV
13%
19%
68%
|
36 | 80 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
SVG
1 - 2
HAM
17%
23%
61%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
HES
4 - 0
HAM
79%
12%
9%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
HAM
3 - 2
COH
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
COH
2 - 2
HAM
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |