VfL Bochum vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis

VfL Bochum Ingolstadt 04
68 ELO 65
8.9% Tilt -2.5%
207º General ELO ranking 871º
20º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
58.1%
VfL Bochum
22.7%
Draw
19.2%
Ingolstadt 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.2%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Bochum
-7%
+17%
Ingolstadt 04

ELO progression

VfL Bochum
Ingolstadt 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2013
SVS
Sandhausen
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
RTV
35%
28%
37%
69 63 6 0
25 Sep. 2013
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 0
VfL Bochum
RTV
73%
17%
10%
70 83 13 -1
21 Sep. 2013
RTV
VfL Bochum
1 - 2
VfR Aalen
VFR
54%
24%
22%
70 69 1 0
15 Sep. 2013
SGF
Greuther Fürth
0 - 2
VfL Bochum
RTV
61%
23%
17%
69 77 8 +1
31 Aug. 2013
RTV
VfL Bochum
4 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
44%
25%
31%
69 70 1 0

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2013
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
32%
27%
41%
65 74 9 0
25 Sep. 2013
FSV
FSV Frankfurt
0 - 2
Ingolstadt 04
ING
60%
22%
19%
64 71 7 +1
22 Sep. 2013
FSV
FSV Frankfurt
4 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
56%
24%
20%
64 71 7 0
15 Sep. 2013
ING
Ingolstadt 04
0 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
33%
26%
42%
65 71 6 -1
01 Sep. 2013
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
1 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
50%
25%
25%
65 67 2 0