VfL Bochum vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
18º
16º
39
7º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BVB
3 - 1
RTV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 0
STU
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 1
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RTV
2 - 0
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
RTV
2 - 1
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 3
BYM
4%
10%
86%
|
80 | 99 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
AUG
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 1
LEV
14%
21%
66%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 0
HOF
28%
23%
50%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
STU
3 - 0
AUG
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |