VfL Bochum vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
12º
18º
17º
3
7º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 88 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 74 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 69 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 61 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 52 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 42 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 37 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 29 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 28 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 25 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 2% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
48.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RBL
1 - 0
RTV
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
RTV
20%
21%
59%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 6
RTV
23%
24%
54%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RTV
4 - 0
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPE
3 - 1
RTV
30%
24%
47%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
LEV
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
IPT
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
HOL
56%
22%
21%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |