VfL Bochum vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
86.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
18º
16º
72
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 1
RTV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 1
AUG
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BVB
3 - 1
RTV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 0
STU
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 1
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 1
MON
80%
13%
8%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 3
BYM
4%
10%
86%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
FCU
85%
11%
5%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |