DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 4-5
VfL Bochum vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1979 |
BRE
2 - 0
RTV
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
RTV
0 - 0
S04
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
RTV
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1979 |
LEV
3 - 1
RTV
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
RTV
1 - 0
EIN
35%
27%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
KFC
1 - 3
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
KOL
4 - 1
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
RTV
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
EIN
3 - 0
KOL
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 0
KAI
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |