VfL Bochum II vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 4
BOC
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 3
BOR
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
S04
1 - 3
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 0
IDA
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
WIE
4 - 0
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
ROT
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 2
BOR
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VER
1 - 0
MAI
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 0
TUS
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ELV
0 - 0
MAI
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |