VfL Bochum II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
WIE
5 - 3
BOC
50%
24%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 3
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 3
S04
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
BOC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
BOC
4 - 2
MAI
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 3
KÖL
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WHE
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
KÖL
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
KÖL
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |