VfL Bochum II vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BOR
4 - 3
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 1
LIP
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
LIP
3 - 2
BOC
19%
22%
58%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 0
SVE
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
GUT
1 - 2
BOC
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
WAC
1 - 1
ERZ
36%
27%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2005 |
ERZ
2 - 1
AAA
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ROT
1 - 1
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SAA
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
SGD
1 - 0
ERZ
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |