Boca Unidos vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
BUC
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 0
OLI
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 0
BUC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 1
RAF
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
BUC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 0
BEL
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PLA
2 - 1
ITA
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 4
FER
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 0
ITA
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 1
IRV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |