Boca Unidos vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BUC
1 - 1
CEN
60%
23%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
DFR
1 - 0
BUC
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
BUC
1 - 4
GIM
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SPB
2 - 2
BUC
28%
26%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
BUC
1 - 2
UNI
54%
24%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SPB
0 - 1
CDN
46%
28%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CFE
2 - 0
SPB
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SPB
2 - 2
BUC
28%
26%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
DHA
2 - 1
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |