Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
VSC
0 - 2
BUC
24%
26%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 1
BAN
29%
28%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 0
BUC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BUC
3 - 0
IRV
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATT
0 - 1
BUC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
BRO
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TAL
3 - 0
SAR
47%
24%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 1
SAR
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 3
INS
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
2 - 0
SAR
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |