Boca Unidos vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
8º
7º
13
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
JAN
2 - 0
BUC
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
CDN
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 1
BUC
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 1
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 0
BUC
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
CEN
23%
28%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
SAR
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
SMA
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
JAN
2 - 0
SAR
34%
30%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
CDN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |