Boca Unidos vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TFE
6 - 0
BUC
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 2
CAU
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DYJ
3 - 1
BUC
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
BUC
0 - 0
INS
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 3
BUC
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 0
BEL
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
PLA
3 - 0
SMA
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 0
FER
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 1
SMA
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 0
IRV
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |