Boca Unidos vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 1
BUC
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 0
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MER
2 - 2
BUC
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 2
FER
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
BUC
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 2
SMA
39%
29%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 0
PAT
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 1
ALM
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 3
PAT
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 2
DYJ
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |