Boca Unidos vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 1
BUC
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 0
FER
38%
32%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
IRV
0 - 0
BUC
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 0
CCS
47%
29%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 1
BUC
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 1
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
CCS
2 - 3
INS
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
JUU
62%
23%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DAL
2 - 1
INS
31%
30%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |