Boca Unidos vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DYJ
2 - 0
BUC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 0
IND
34%
30%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FER
2 - 2
BUC
31%
30%
39%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
BUC
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 0
GIM
55%
27%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
INS
2 - 1
BRO
52%
28%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
INS
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DHA
1 - 0
INS
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
IRV
1 - 1
INS
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
INS
1 - 0
CEN
23%
27%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |