Boca Unidos vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
BUC
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 2
CDN
33%
30%
37%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 0
BUC
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 1
CHI
22%
29%
49%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 0
BUC
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FER
4 - 3
CCS
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
GIM
40%
31%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 3
FER
32%
31%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
AND
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |