Boca Unidos vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
BUC
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
QUI
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 1
BUC
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 0
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
GBR
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CAU
1 - 0
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FER
1 - 3
TFE
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 0
FER
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |