Boca Unidos vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
TAL
2 - 1
BUC
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 0
SAR
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
VSC
0 - 2
BUC
24%
26%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 1
BAN
29%
28%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 0
BUC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DHA
2 - 2
SMA
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
IRV
1 - 1
DHA
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
DHA
2 - 0
GIM
38%
31%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ATT
3 - 0
DHA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
DHA
1 - 0
SPB
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |