Boca Unidos vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
BRO
1 - 1
BUC
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BUC
0 - 4
RAF
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 0
PAR
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
DAL
1 - 0
BUC
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 1
DHA
47%
29%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DAL
2 - 2
RSA
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 2
DHA
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 1
RSA
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 0
CDN
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
RSA
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |