Boca Unidos vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
INS
1 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BUC
1 - 0
GBR
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 0
GAF
56%
26%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 1
BUC
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 0
AND
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSA
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ATT
4 - 1
RSA
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 0
SPB
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
RSA
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |