Boca Unidos vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FER
0 - 2
BUC
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
BUC
1 - 1
CAI
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
RAF
3 - 0
BUC
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 0
CEN
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 1
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MER
3 - 2
IRV
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 0
MER
54%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 1
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
FER
32%
30%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 1
MER
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |