Boca Unidos vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SLP
0 - 0
BUC
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
0 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GYT
2 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DPR
1 - 2
BUC
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CDN
2 - 0
JAN
30%
29%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SLP
2 - 0
CDN
55%
26%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDN
1 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GYT
1 - 0
CDN
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CDN
2 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |