Boca Unidos vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 2
BUC
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 0
SMA
40%
29%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
BUC
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
SMA
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 1
BUC
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 2
IRV
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
RAF
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 0
MER
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
RAF
24%
29%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RAF
5 - 1
CAI
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |