Boca Unidos vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
8º
3º
41
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SOL
6 - 1
BUC
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 0
JAN
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 1
BUC
27%
27%
47%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
GYT
36%
28%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BUC
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 1
JAN
27%
28%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
9DJ
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 1
GYT
18%
26%
55%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
9DJ
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 1
SAR
17%
25%
58%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |