Boca Juniors vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
LRI
10 - 0
BOC
94%
6%
1%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 8
PHO
23%
24%
54%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LYN
1 - 0
BOC
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BOC
2 - 3
GLA
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GIB
7 - 0
BOC
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2019 |
PHO
1 - 0
LIO
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LIO
1 - 2
GLA
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
MON
6 - 0
LIO
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
LIO
0 - 8
CEU
5%
14%
81%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LRI
5 - 1
LIO
90%
8%
2%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | -3 |