Boca Juniors vs Europa Point analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
LIO
6 - 4
BOC
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
GLA
0 - 2
BOC
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 8
LRI
2%
11%
88%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CEU
6 - 1
BOC
93%
6%
1%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 2
MAG
20%
23%
56%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
EUR
6 - 1
COL
53%
21%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EUR
1 - 3
MAN
53%
21%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
JOS
5 - 0
EUR
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LRI
3 - 0
EUR
94%
5%
1%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
EUR
2 - 3
MAG
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |