Boca Juniors de Cali vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BJC
3 - 3
LEO
12%
17%
71%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 2
BJC
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BJC
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 1
FOR
14%
23%
63%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 3
BJC
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BJC
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |