Boca Juniors de Cali vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
BJC
1 - 0
UNI
17%
19%
64%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
2 - 1
BJC
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
REA
0 - 1
BJC
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BJC
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 1
BJC
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
ORS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
LEO
37%
24%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
FOR
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |