Boca Júnior FC vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
BOC
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
AMP
0 - 3
BOC
14%
18%
68%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
0 - 1
SER
24%
24%
51%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 0
BOC
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
ITA
28%
26%
47%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
FFC
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
SER
45%
27%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SER
2 - 2
CAM
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
BAH
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 0
SER
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |