Boca Júnior FC vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 1
ITA
16%
24%
60%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 0
BOC
53%
24%
22%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
SER
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 0
AMP
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 6 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DOR
3 - 2
LAG
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 2
AFP
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |