Boca Júnior FC vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 2
BOC
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
59%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 0
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
BOC
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
39%
25%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
LAG
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |