Boca Júnior FC vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BOQ
1 - 0
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 1
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 1
BOQ
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EST
4 - 2
BOC
65%
20%
16%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 3
CON
20%
23%
57%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 0
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
29%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |