Boca Júnior FC vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
4 - 2
BOC
56%
24%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
OSE
3 - 3
BOC
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
LAG
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 3
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
SER
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 0
DOR
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
AMA
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 2
DOR
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OSE
1 - 1
DOR
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |