Boca Júnior FC vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 3
BOC
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 2
SER
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
62%
23%
15%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 1
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |