Boca Júnior FC vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ITA
27%
28%
45%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
DOR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
ABS
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
SAL
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 2
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
CON
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
RIV
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |