Boca Júnior FC vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
BOC
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 2
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
BOC
73%
18%
10%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SOC
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
VIT
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | +1 |