Boca Júnior FC vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 3
ATG
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AFP
4 - 1
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
BOC
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 2
ITA
20%
26%
54%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 1
AME
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
SDJ
4 - 3
ABS
77%
15%
9%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ABS
1 - 4
OSE
13%
18%
69%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ABS
0 - 3
EST
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
EST
5 - 0
ABS
76%
16%
9%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OSE
1 - 0
ABS
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | -1 |