Boca Júnior FC vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
BOC
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
AMA
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
64%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
AFP
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 2
DOR
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
AFP
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
2 - 2
AMA
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |