Boca Júnior FC vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
BOC
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
DOR
34%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 0
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 6
SER
22%
26%
53%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
SOC
49%
26%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
8%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
SDF
25%
25%
51%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |