Boavista vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
PEN
3 - 0
BOA
40%
28%
31%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 0
BOA
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
BOA
3 - 1
VST
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
BEL
0 - 0
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
BOA
0 - 1
SOC
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
VAR
5 - 1
ESP
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
VST
2 - 0
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
4 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |