Taça de Portugal Final
Global 2-1
Boavista vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VST
4 - 1
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
SPB
0 - 1
BOA
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 0
SCP
19%
27%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 3
SCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
SCP
5 - 1
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
FAF
0 - 1
SCP
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |