Boavista vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
14º
12º
8
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 10% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 25% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 20% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
BOA
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 5
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
2 - 3
TON
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 1
BOA
12%
17%
72%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 2
BOA
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
SPB
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
ESA
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MPT
0 - 5
SPB
15%
18%
68%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 0
MPT
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |