Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 9-2
Boavista vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 2
BOA
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
BOA
2 - 2
SCP
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
BEL
1 - 0
BOA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SLI
2 - 1
BOA
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
UDL
3 - 1
BOA
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SLI
2 - 1
BOA
34%
23%
43%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
SLI
0 - 0
EIN
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
EIN
5 - 0
SLI
98%
2%
1%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1976 |
TPS
1 - 0
SLI
67%
17%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1976 |
SLI
2 - 1
TPS
43%
22%
35%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |