Boavista vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
18º
17º
24
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 71 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 46 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 26 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
54.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 2
BOA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 2
MOR
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
BOA
7%
14%
79%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
BOA
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOA
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 2
CAS
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
RIO
9%
18%
73%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
FAM
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPB
4 - 0
RIO
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |