Boavista vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
BOA
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
BOA
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COI
1 - 0
BOA
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 0
GON
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
ANG
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
ANA
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |